ABOUT FORGNOSIS

FORGNOSIS characteristic features:

  • A Delphi survey support system with a rich variety of survey designs, from simple multi-round pools to forecasting analytics.
  • A flexible survey system that offers a variety of question and/or statement types, as well as a user-friendly interface to reply or verify them. The questions can have various forms: binary ("yes/no"), qualitative - Likert-scale-valued, define probabilities of future events or other quantitative variables.
  • Advanced statistical analysis, including reply clustering, outlier detection and management, Gaussian mixture analytics.
  • Trust and uncertainty management with sophisticated expert trust and credibility management system and fuzzy-random variables to combine credibility with statistical indicators.
  • Customers contracting the use of the application in SaaS mode simultaneously benefit from the knowledge and experience of a consultancy organization that provides an ICT platform and access to its expert pool.
  • Forgnosis supports several methodological Delphi variants: decision Delphi, policy Delphi, wideband Delphi.
  • The technical organization of the survey encompasses classical multi-round, persistent multi-round, real-time Delphi as well as their combinations. Each one is endowed with a set of dedicated statistical procedures
  • The Delphi survey results may yield both quantitative as well as substantial recommendations. They may further be used to determine trends, build scenarios and plan technological investment.
  • The survey support system is offered in SaaS mode, with some PaaS functionalities. The latter include a variety of programming tools for designing the organization’s customized survey.

The entire Delphi-based problem solving, including advisory assistance in formulating the problems (statements or questions) presented to experts, the recruitment of experts, monitoring of the application performance, and the final statistical and descriptive analysis of results, as well as development of final rankings, is provided as an advanced research service. The client does not need to handle the organizational aspects the survey, which are fully managed by the application, and specialized know-how is not required. Strict statistical and uncertainty handling methods yield consistent recommendations to the survey stakeholders.